Embracing Variation and Accepting Uncertainty (my talk this Wed/Tues at a symposium on communicating uncertainty)

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/06/29/embracing-variation-and-accepting-uncertainty-my-talk-this-wed-at-a-symposium-on-communicating-uncertainty/

I’ll be speaking (virtually) at this conference in Australia on Wed 1 July (actually Tues 30 June in our time zone here):

Embracing Variation and Accepting Uncertainty

It is said that your most important collaborator is yourself in 6 months. Perhaps the best way to improve our communication of data uncertainty to others is to learn how to better communicate to ourselves. What does it mean to say to future-you: “I don’t know”? Or, even more challenging, “I know a little but I’m not completely sure”? We will discuss in the context of applications in drug testing, election forecasting, and the evaluation of scientific research.