https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/08/03/stancon-2020-program-is-now-online/This year’s Stan Conference is on August 13, 2020 (next Thursday)! The program has been finalized and is online. So far, we’re at 89 registrants
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/08/03/math-error-in-herd-immunity-calculation-from-cnn-epidemiology-expert/Michael Weissman and Sander Greenland write: Sanjay Gupta and Andrea Kane just ran an extensive front-page CNN article reporting that some residual T-cell immune responses
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/08/03/100-stories-of-causal-inference-my-talk-tomorrow-at-the-online-causal-inference-seminar/Tues 4 Aug, 11:30am on zoom: 100 Stories of Causal Inference In social science we learn from stories. The best stories are anomalous and immutable.
Getting negative about the critical positivity ratio: when you talk about throwing out the bathwater, really throw out the bathwater! Don’t try to pretend it has some value. Give it up. Let it go. You can do this and still hold on to the baby at the same time!
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/08/03/kinda-like-reeses-pieces-if-you-dont-like-chocolate-and-you-dont-like-peanut-butter/ But maybe it’s all OK? Most of this post is a pretty negative review of a recent book, about which I will apply the
https://blog.rstudio.com/2020/08/03/rstudio-adds-new-r-features-in-qubole-s-open-data-lake/ Launch RStudio Server Pro from inside the Qubole platform We are excited to team up with Qubole to offer data science teams the ability
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/08/02/the-typical-set-and-its-relevance-to-bayesian-computation/tl;dr The typical set (at some level of coverage) is the set of parameter values for which the log density (the target function) is close
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/08/01/ra-fisher-and-the-science-of-hatred/ Mark Brown points us to this thoughtful article by Richard Evans regarding the controversy over Ronald Fisher, who during the twentieth century made huge
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/08/01/on-deck-through-jan-2021/This should keep you busy through the end of the year . . . Many of these posts were originally scheduled earlier but then got
http://freerangestats.info/blog/2020/08/02/occupation-growthExploration of change in occupations in the Australian health industry, and economy more broadly, from 1986 to the present.
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/07/31/thinking-about-election-forecast-uncertainty/Some twitter action Elliott Morris, my collaborator (with Merlin Heidemanns) on the Economist election forecast, pointed me to some thoughtful criticisms of our model from
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/07/30/the-taboo-against-explicit-causal-inference-in-nonexperimental-psychology/Kevin Lewis points us to this article by Michael Grosz, Julia Rohrer, and Felix Thoemmes, who write: Causal inference is a central goal of research.
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/07/30/the-history-of-low-hanging-intellectual-fruit/Alex Tabarrok asks, why was the game Dungeons and Dragons, or something like it, not invented in ancient Rome? He argues that the ancient Romans